The purchasing question
Total packaging spend changes when either price or purchased volume changes. To isolate a supplier price increase, hold the quantity and scope fixed. Add a volume scenario separately rather than attributing all budget growth to the unit quotation.
Calculation method
Extra spend at fixed quantity = quantity × (new unit price − old unit price). Percentage price change = (new price ÷ old price − 1) × 100 when the old price is positive. State whether the period is an order, quarter or a supplied annual plan.
Worked example
At a fixed annual plan of 100,000 kg, a rise from €3.00/kg to €3.15/kg adds €15,000 and represents a 5% price increase. If quantity also rises to 110,000 kg, spend becomes €346,500 versus €300,000 previously. The €46,500 difference includes both price and volume changes.
Using an old-price baseline, the extra 10,000 kg accounts for €30,000; the price increase on all 110,000 kg accounts for €16,500. This decomposition reconciles the total. Alternative decomposition conventions can allocate the interaction differently, so state the method.
Checks before using the result
- Use the same currency and purchase unit.
- Separate quantity and unit-price assumptions.
- Do not treat annual divided by twelve as a forecast of monthly seasonality.
Common questions
Does a 5% price increase imply a 5% increase in total spend?
Only at unchanged purchased quantity and scope. Volume, components, freight and other charges can change total spend independently.